INTELLIGENCE // THREATS // EUCOM // 2025
Threat Environment: Europe & Eurasia
EUCOM threat summary — 46 countries assessed
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps/Qods Force; Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham (ISIS) note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 9,381 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 2,203 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 145,354 (2024 est.) IDPs: 4 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 373 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham (ISIS) note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 313,711 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 3,919 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham (ISIS); Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC)/Qods Force note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 6,698 (2024 est.) IDPs: 657,996 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 271 (2024 est.)
Trafficking in Persons
tier rating: Tier 3 Belarus does not fully meet the minimum standards for the elimination of trafficking and is not making significant efforts to do so, therefore, Belarus remained on Tier 3; for more details, go to: https://www.state.gov/reports/2025-trafficking-in-persons-report/belarus/
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 44,621 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 5,620 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps/Qods Force; Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham (ISIS) note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Illicit Drugs
USG identification: major precursor-chemical producer (2025)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 236,689 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 849 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps/Qods Force note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 685 (2024 est.) IDPs: 94,796 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 23 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham (ISIS); Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps/Qods Force note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 114,728 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 862 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 29,927 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 758 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham (ISIS) note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 73,303 (2024 est.) IDPs: 244,944 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 130 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 392,198 (2024 est.) IDPs: 5 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 588 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham (ISIS); Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC)/Qods Force note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 100,832 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 8,566 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 42,439 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 63,944 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham (ISIS)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 97,568 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 1,326 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps/Qods Force; Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham (ISIS); al-Qa'ida note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 810,325 (2024 est.) IDPs: 59 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 2,634 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 31,791 (2024 est.) IDPs: 347,754 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 488 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps/Qods Force; Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham (ISIS); al-Qa'ida note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Illicit Drugs
USG identification: major precursor-chemical producer (2025)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 3,098,169 (2024 est.) IDPs: 100 (2023 est.) stateless persons: 28,813 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham (ISIS); Revolutionary Struggle (RS); Revolutionary People's Liberation Party/Front (DHKP/C) note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 144,694 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 3,743 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham (ISIS) note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 72,359 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 101 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 8,960 (2024 est.) IDPs: 3,700 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 31 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Continuity Irish Republican Army (CIRA); Real Irish Republican Army (RIRA); Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham (ISIS) note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 156,441 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 48 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham (ISIS) note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 520,127 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 3,000 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 49,483 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 173,891 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 875 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 53,859 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 2,236 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 14,344 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 85 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 9,284 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 171 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 136,845 (2024 est.) IDPs: 6 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 3,164 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 17 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 18,820 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 423 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham (ISIS) note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Illicit Drugs
USG identification: major precursor-chemical producer (2025)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 310,239 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 4,428 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham (ISIS) note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 20,937 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 159 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 129,894 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 1,621 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham (ISIS) note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Illicit Drugs
USG identification: major precursor-chemical producer (2025)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 1,019,863 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 1,486 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham (ISIS) note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 71,166 (2024 est.) IDPs: 21 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 31 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham (ISIS) note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 184,991 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 297 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham (ISIS) note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Trafficking in Persons
tier rating: Tier 3 Russia does not fully meet the minimum standards for the elimination of trafficking and is not making significant efforts to do so, therefore, Russia remained on Tier 3; for more details, go to: https://www.state.gov/reports/2025-trafficking-in-persons-report/russia/
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 11,440 (2024 est.) IDPs: 172,783 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 90,185 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 36,270 (2024 est.) IDPs: 194,171 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 1,715 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 144,349 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 65 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 13,369 (2024 est.) IDPs: 10 (2023 est.) stateless persons: 10 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham (ISIS); al-Qa ida note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 693,298 (2024 est.) IDPs: 3,960 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 10,164 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham (ISIS) note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 168,519 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 6,835 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham (ISIS) note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 213,177 (2024 est.) IDPs: 97 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 1,267 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham (ISIS); Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU); Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC)/Qods Force; Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK); al-Qa'ida; Revolutionary People's Liberation Party/Front (DHKP/C) note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 3,094,818 (2024 est.) IDPs: 538,105 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 420 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 2,876 (2024 est.) IDPs: 3,665,165 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 10,910 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Continuity Irish Republican Army (CIRA); Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham (ISIS); al-Qa'ida; Real Irish Republican Army (RIRA) note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Illicit Drugs
USG identification: major precursor-chemical producer (2025)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 640,460 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 4,672 (2024 est.)
Assessment Note
Threat categories aligned with FBI/DOJ reporting standards. Tier 1 threats include counterterrorism, counterintelligence, cyber, and WMD proliferation. Data sourced from CIA World Factbook 2025 (OPEN SOURCE // OSINT).
Threat categories aligned with FBI/DOJ reporting standards. Tier 1 threats include counterterrorism, counterintelligence, cyber, and WMD proliferation. Data sourced from CIA World Factbook 2025 (OPEN SOURCE // OSINT).