INTELLIGENCE // DOSSIER // IS // 2025
Iceland
Intelligence Dossier — ICD 203/208 Format — Europe & Eurasia (EUCOM)
Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF)
Iceland is a unitary parliamentary republic. Population: total: 364,036 (2024 est.) male: 182,268 female: 181,768.
Iceland is a unitary parliamentary republic. Population: total: 364,036 (2024 est.) male: 182,268 female: 181,768.
Government & Political
Government type
HIGH
unitary parliamentary republic
Capital
HIGH
name: Reykjavik geographic coordinates: 64 09 N, 21 57 W time difference: UTC 0 (5 hours ahead of Washington, DC, during Standard Time) etymology: the name means "smoky bay" in Icelandic and refers to the steam from the hot springs in the area
Executive branch
HIGH
chief of state: President Halla TOMASDOTTIR (since 1 August 2024) head of government: Prime Minister Kristrun FROSTADOTTIR (since 21 December 2024) cabinet: Cabinet appointed by the president upon the recommendation of the prime minister election/appointment process: president directly elected by simple-majority popular vote for a 4-year term (no term limits); following legislative elections, the leader of the majority party or majority coalition becomes prime minister most recent election date: 1 June 2024 election results: 2024: Halla TOMASDOTTIR elected president; percent of vote - Halla TOMASDOTTIR (independent) 34.1%, Katrin JAKOBSDOTTIR (Left-Green Movement) 25.2%, Halla Hrund LOGADOTTIR (independent) 15.7%, Jon GNARR (Social Democratic Alliance) 10.1%, Baldur PORHALLSSON (independent) 8.4%, other 6.5% 2020: Gudni Thorlacius JOHANNESSON reelected president; percent of vote - Gudni Thorlacius JOHANNESSON (independent) 92.2%, Gudmundur Franklin JONSSON (independent) 7.8% expected date of next election: June 2028
Legislative branch
HIGH
legislature name: Parliament (Althingi) legislative structure: unicameral number of seats: 63 (all directly elected) electoral system: proportional representation scope of elections: full renewal term in office: 4 years most recent election date: 11/30/2024 parties elected and seats per party: Social Democratic Alliance (SDA) (15); Independence Party (IP) (14); Liberal Reform Party (11); People’s Party (10); Center Party (8); Progressive Party (PP) (5) percentage of women in chamber: 46% expected date of next election: November 2028
Judicial branch
HIGH
highest court(s): Supreme Court or Haestirettur (consists of 7 judges) judge selection and term of office: judges proposed by Ministry of Interior selection committee and appointed by the president for an indefinite period subordinate courts: Appellate Court or Landsrettur; 8 district courts; Labor Court
Constitution
HIGH
history: several previous; latest ratified 16 June 1944, effective 17 June 1944 (at independence) amendment process: proposed by the Althingi; passage requires approval by the Althingi and by the next elected Althingi, and confirmation by the president of the republic; proposed amendments to Article 62 of the constitution that the Evangelical Lutheran Church shall be the state church of Iceland also require passage by referendum
International organization participation
HIGH
Arctic Council, Australia Group, BIS, CBSS, CD, CE, EAPC, EBRD, EFTA, FAO, FATF, IAEA, IBRD, ICAO, ICC (national committees), ICCt, ICRM, IDA, IFAD, IFC, IFRCS, IHO, ILO, IMF, IMO, IMSO, Interpol, IOC, IOM, IPU, ISO, ITSO, ITU, ITUC (NGOs), MIGA, NATO, NC, NEA, NIB, NSG, OAS (observer), OECD, OPCW, OSCE, PCA, Schengen Convention, UN, UNCTAD, UNESCO, UPU, WCO, WHO, WIPO, WMO, WTO
Military & Security
Military and security forces
HIGH
no regular military forces; the Icelandic National Police, the regional police forces, and the Icelandic Coast Guard fall under the purview of the Ministry of Justice (2025) note: the Icelandic Coast Guard is responsible for operational defense tasks in Iceland including but not limited to operation of Keflavik Air Base, special security zones, and the Icelandic air defense system; it also coordinates with NATO in such areas as air surveillance and military defense exercises
Military - note
HIGH
Iceland was one of the original 12 countries to sign the North Atlantic Treaty (also known as the Washington Treaty) in 1949; Iceland is the only NATO member that has no standing military force; defense of Iceland is a NATO commitment, and NATO maintains an air policing presence in Icelandic airspace; Iceland participates in international peacekeeping missions with the civilian-manned Icelandic Crisis Response Unit (ICRU) Iceland also cooperates with the militaries of other regional countries through the Nordic Defense Cooperation (Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, and Sweden) and the Joint Expeditionary Force (Denmark, Estonia, Finland, Iceland, Latvia, Lithuania, the Netherlands, Norway, Sweden and the UK); in 1951, Iceland and the US concluded an agreement to make arrangements regarding the defense of Iceland and for the use of facilities in Iceland to that end (2025)
Economy
Real GDP (purchasing power parity)
HIGH
$26.561 billion (2024 est.) $26.424 billion (2023 est.) $25.012 billion (2022 est.) note: data in 2021 dollars
Real GDP per capita
HIGH
$65,600 (2024 est.) $67,200 (2023 est.) $65,500 (2022 est.) note: data in 2021 dollars
Real GDP growth rate
HIGH
0.5% (2024 est.) 5.6% (2023 est.) 9% (2022 est.) note: annual GDP % growth based on constant local currency
Inflation rate (consumer prices)
HIGH
5.9% (2024 est.) 8.7% (2023 est.) 8.3% (2022 est.) note: annual % change based on consumer prices
Public debt
HIGH
80.7% of GDP (2023 est.) note: central government debt as a % of GDP
Exports
HIGH
$13.916 billion (2024 est.) $13.702 billion (2023 est.) $13.114 billion (2022 est.) note: balance of payments - exports of goods and services in current dollars
Imports
HIGH
$14.298 billion (2024 est.) $13.63 billion (2023 est.) $13.237 billion (2022 est.) note: balance of payments - imports of goods and services in current dollars
Unemployment rate
HIGH
3.2% (2024 est.) 3.6% (2023 est.) 3.8% (2022 est.) note: % of labor force seeking employment
Budget
HIGH
revenues: $10.023 billion (2023 est.) expenditures: $10.364 billion (2023 est.) note: central government revenues (excluding grants) and expenditures converted to US dollars at average official exchange rate for year indicated
Industries
HIGH
tourism, fish processing; aluminum smelting; geothermal power, hydropower; medical/pharmaceutical products
Agricultural products
HIGH
milk, chicken, lamb/mutton, barley, potatoes, pork, beef, eggs, other meats, cucumbers/gherkins (2023) note: top ten agricultural products based on tonnage
Demographics
Population
HIGH
total: 364,036 (2024 est.) male: 182,268 female: 181,768
Population growth rate
HIGH
0.82% (2025 est.)
Age structure
HIGH
0-14 years: 19.8% (male 36,692/female 35,239) 15-64 years: 63.2% (male 116,210/female 113,810) 65 years and over: 17.1% (2024 est.) (male 29,366/female 32,719)
Birth rate
HIGH
12.47 births/1,000 population (2025 est.)
Death rate
HIGH
6.62 deaths/1,000 population (2025 est.)
Net migration rate
HIGH
2.3 migrant(s)/1,000 population (2025 est.)
Life expectancy at birth
HIGH
total population: 84 years (2024 est.) male: 81.8 years female: 86.3 years
Urbanization
HIGH
urban population: 94% of total population (2023) rate of urbanization: 0.74% annual rate of change (2020-25 est.)
Ethnic groups
HIGH
Icelandic 78.7%, Polish 5.8%, Danish 1%, Ukrainian 1%, other 13.5% (2024 est.) note : data represent population by country of birth
Languages
HIGH
Icelandic, English, Polish, Nordic languages, German
Religions
HIGH
Evangelical Lutheran Church of Iceland (official) 58.6% Roman Catholic 3.8%, Independent Congregation of Reykjavik 2.6%, Independent Congregation of Hafnarfjordur 1.9%, pagan worship 1.5%, Icelandic Ethical Humanist Association 1.4%, other (includes Zuist and Pentecostal) or unspecified 18.7%, none 7.7% (2024 est.)
Energy & Resources
Natural resources
HIGH
fish, hydropower, geothermal power, diatomite
Transnational Threats
Refugees and internally displaced persons
HIGH
refugees: 8,960 (2024 est.) IDPs: 3,700 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 31 (2024 est.)
Infrastructure
Airports
HIGH
82 (2025)
Merchant marine
HIGH
total: 39 (2023) by type: general cargo 5, oil tanker 2, other 32
Telephones - mobile cellular
HIGH
total subscriptions: 478,000 (2023 est.) subscriptions per 100 inhabitants: 123 (2022 est.)
Internet users
HIGH
percent of population: 100% (2023 est.)
Classification
OPEN SOURCE. Data from CIA World Factbook 2025 edition (public domain). Assessment formatted per ICD 203 Analytic Standards and ICD 208 guidance. Confidence levels: HIGH = current year data, MODERATE = within 2 years, LOW = older than 2 years.
Full Sources & Methodology →
OPEN SOURCE. Data from CIA World Factbook 2025 edition (public domain). Assessment formatted per ICD 203 Analytic Standards and ICD 208 guidance. Confidence levels: HIGH = current year data, MODERATE = within 2 years, LOW = older than 2 years.
Full Sources & Methodology →