INTELLIGENCE // THREATS // AFRICOM // 2025
Threat Environment: Africa
AFRICOM threat summary — 50 countries assessed
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
al-Qa'ida in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM); Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham (ISIS) Algeria; al-Mulathamun Battalion (al-Mourabitoun) note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Trafficking in Persons
tier rating: Tier 2 Watch List Algeria did not demonstrate overall increasing efforts to eliminate trafficking compared with the previous reporting period, therefore Algeria remained on Tier 2 Watch List for the second consecutive year; for more details, go to: https://www.state.gov/reports/2025-trafficking-in-persons-report/algeria/
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 188,206 (2024 est.) IDPs: 25 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 55,542 (2024 est.) IDPs: 75,308 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Jama at Nusrat al Islam wal Muslimeen (JNIM); Islamic State in the Greater Sahara (ISIS-GS); Boko Haram note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 23,225 (2024 est.) IDPs: 12,501 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 823 (2024 est.) IDPs: 99 (2023 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Ansarul Islam; Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham in the Greater Sahara (ISIS-GS); al-Mulathamun Battalion (al-Mourabitoun); Jama'at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Trafficking in Persons
tier rating: Tier 2 Watch List the government did not demonstrate overall increasing efforts to eliminate trafficking compared with the previous reporting period, therefore Burkina Faso remained on Tier 2 Watch List for the second consecutive year; for more details, go to: https://www.state.gov/reports/2025-trafficking-in-persons-report/burkina-faso/
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 41,408 (2024 est.) IDPs: 2,065,358 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 91,164 (2024 est.) IDPs: 92,174 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 791 (2024 est.)
Trafficking in Persons
tier rating: Tier 2 Watch List Cabo Verde did not demonstrate overall increasing efforts to eliminate trafficking compared with the previous reporting period and was downgraded to Tier 2 Watch List; for more details, go to: https://www.state.gov/reports/2025-trafficking-in-persons-report/cabo-verde/
Refugees / IDPs
stateless persons: 115 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Boko Haram; Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham West Africa note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 443,740 (2024 est.) IDPs: 1,058,405 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 53,378 (2024 est.) IDPs: 469,342 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Boko Haram; Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham - West Africa (ISIS-WA) note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Trafficking in Persons
tier rating: Tier 3 Chad does not fully meet the minimum standards for the elimination of trafficking and is not making significant efforts to do so, therefore, Chad was downgraded to Tier 3; for more details, go to: https://www.state.gov/reports/2025-trafficking-in-persons-report/chad/
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 1,286,645 (2024 est.) IDPs: 1,542,532 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 18 (2024 est.) IDPs: 38 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham Democratic Republic of the Congo (ISIS-DRC) note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Trafficking in Persons
tier rating: Tier 2 Watch List the Democratic Republic of the Congo did not demonstrate overall increasing efforts to eliminate trafficking compared with the previous reporting period and was downgraded to Tier 2 Watch List; for more details, go to: https://www.state.gov/reports/2025-trafficking-in-persons-report/democratic-republic-of-the-congo/
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 518,445 (2024 est.) IDPs: 6,895,648 (2024 est.)
Trafficking in Persons
tier rating: Tier 2 Watch List the Republic of the Congo does not fully meet the minimum standards for the elimination of trafficking, but the government has devoted sufficient resources to a written plan that, if implemented, would constitute significant efforts to meet the minimum standards; therefore, the Republic of the Congo was granted a waiver per the Trafficking Victims Protection Act from an otherwise required downgrade to Tier 3 and remained on Tier 2 Watch List for the third consecutive year; for more details, go to: https://www.state.gov/reports/2025-trafficking-in-persons-report/republic-of-the-congo/
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 69,766 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
al-Qa'ida in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM); Jama at Nusrat al Islam wal Muslimeen (JNIM) note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 69,176 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 930,978 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
al-Shabaab note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Trafficking in Persons
tier rating: Tier 2 Watch List Djibouti does not fully meet the minimum standards for the elimination of trafficking but is making significant efforts to do so, therefore Djibouti was upgraded to Tier 2 Watch List; for more details, go to: https://www.state.gov/reports/2025-trafficking-in-persons-report/djibouti/
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 32,636 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 5 (2024 est.)
Trafficking in Persons
tier rating: Tier 3 Eritrea does not fully meet the minimum standards for the elimination of trafficking and is not making significant efforts to do so, therefore Eritrea remained on Tier 3; for more details, go to: https://www.state.gov/reports/2025-trafficking-in-persons-report/eritrea/
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 119 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 4,459 (2024 est.) IDPs: 56 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
al-Shabaab note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 1,071,881 (2024 est.) IDPs: 3,134,600 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 261 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 4,411 (2024 est.) IDPs: 7,462 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 17,334 (2024 est.) IDPs: 4,937 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 2,343 (2024 est.) IDPs: 5,160 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 54 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
al-Shabaab note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 823,904 (2024 est.) IDPs: 284,886 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 9,800 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 610 (2024 est.)
Trafficking in Persons
tier rating: Tier 2 Watch List the government did not demonstrate overall increasing efforts to eliminate trafficking compared with the previous reporting period, therefore Liberia remained on Tier 2 Watch List for the second consecutive year; for more details, go to: https://www.state.gov/reports/2025-trafficking-in-persons-report/liberia/
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 1,854 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Ansar al-Sharia groups; Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham - Libya (ISIS-L); al-Mulathamun Battalion (al-Mourabitoun); al-Qa'ida in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM) note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Trafficking in Persons
tier rating: Special Case; for more details, go to: https://www.state.gov/reports/2025-trafficking-in-persons-report/libya/
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 277,010 (2024 est.) IDPs: 139,305 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 1,256 (2024 est.) IDPs: 9,868 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 56,659 (2024 est.) IDPs: 135,728 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Ansar al-Dine; Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham in the Greater Sahara (ISIS-GS); Jama'at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM); al-Mulathamun Battalion (al-Mourabitoun) note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 135,827 (2024 est.) IDPs: 378,363 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Al-Qa'ida in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 162,277 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 82 (2024 est.) IDPs: 39 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham (ISIS) note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 18,848 (2024 est.) IDPs: 256 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham - Mozambique (ISIS-M) note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 24,250 (2024 est.) IDPs: 718,154 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 6,575 (2024 est.) IDPs: 1,399 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 14,796 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Boko Haram; Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham in the Greater Sahara (ISIS-GS); Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham West Africa (ISIS-WA); Jama'at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM); al-Mulathamun Battalion (al-Mourabitoun) note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Trafficking in Persons
tier rating: Tier 2 Watch List the government did not demonstrate overall increasing efforts to eliminate trafficking compared with the previous reporting period, therefore Niger remained on Tier 2 Watch List for the second consecutive year; for more details, go to: https://www.state.gov/reports/2025-trafficking-in-persons-report/niger/
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 421,795 (2024 est.) IDPs: 891,565 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Boko Haram; Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham West Africa; Jama atu Ansarul Muslimina Fi Biladis-Sudan (Ansaru) note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Illicit Drugs
USG identification: major precursor-chemical producer (2025)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 127,131 (2024 est.) IDPs: 3,709,022 (2024 est.)
Trafficking in Persons
tier rating: Tier 2 Watch List the government did not demonstrate overall increasing efforts to eliminate trafficking compared with the previous reporting period, therefore Rwanda remained on Tier 2 Watch List for the second consecutive year; for more details, go to: https://www.state.gov/reports/2025-trafficking-in-persons-report/rwanda
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 128,561 (2024 est.) IDPs: 21,948 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 14,500 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Jama at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 13,064 (2024 est.) IDPs: 5,922 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
al-Shabaab; Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham Somalia note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Trafficking in Persons
tier rating: Special Case; for more details, go to: https://www.state.gov/reports/2025-trafficking-in-persons-report/somalia/
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 41,763 (2024 est.) IDPs: 3,869,345 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham (ISIS) note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Illicit Drugs
USG identification: major precursor-chemical producer (2025)
Trafficking in Persons
tier rating: Tier 2 Watch List the government did not demonstrate overall increasing efforts to eliminate trafficking compared with the previous reporting period, therefore South Africa was downgraded to Tier 2 Watch List; for more details, go to: https://www.state.gov/reports/2025-trafficking-in-persons-report/south-africa/
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 171,484 (2024 est.) IDPs: 7,385 (2024 est.)
Trafficking in Persons
tier rating: Tier 3 South Sudan does not fully meet the minimum standards for the elimination of trafficking and is not making significant efforts to do so, therefore, South Sudan remained on Tier 3; for more details, go to: https://www.state.gov/reports/2025-trafficking-in-persons-report/south-sudan/
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 517,471 (2024 est.) IDPs: 1,359,795 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 18,000 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham (ISIS); al-Qa ida; Harakat Sawa d Misr note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Trafficking in Persons
tier rating: Tier 3 Sudan does not fully meet the minimum standards for the elimination of trafficking and is not making significant efforts to do so; therefore, Sudan remained on Tier 3; for more details, go to: https://www.state.gov/reports/2025-trafficking-in-persons-report/sudan
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 837,988 (2024 est.) IDPs: 11,559,970 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
al-Shabaab; Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham (ISIS) note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 218,123 (2024 est.) IDPs: 75,117 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Jama at Nusrat al Islam wal Muslimeen (JNIM) note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 48,756 (2024 est.) IDPs: 18,429 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
Ansar al-Sharia in Tunisia; Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham (ISIS) network in Tunisia (known locally as Ajnad al-Khilafah or the Army of the Caliphate); al-Qa'ida in the Islamic Maghreb note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Trafficking in Persons
tier rating: Tier 2 Watch List the government did not demonstrate overall increasing efforts to eliminate trafficking compared with the previous reporting period, therefore Tunisia was downgraded to Tier 2 Watch List; for more details, go to: https://www.state.gov/reports/2025-trafficking-in-persons-report/tunisia
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 12,575 (2024 est.)
Terrorist Groups FBI TIER 1
al-Shabaab; Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham - Democratic Republic of Congo (ISIS-DRC) note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 1,796,597 (2024 est.) IDPs: 22,209 (2024 est.) stateless persons: 10,284 (2024 est.)
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 88,918 (2024 est.) IDPs: 131,349 (2024 est.)
Trafficking in Persons
tier rating: Tier 2 Watch List the government did not demonstrate overall increasing efforts to eliminate trafficking compared with the previous reporting period, therefore Zimbabwe remained on Tier 2 Watch List for the second consecutive year; for more details, go to: https://www.state.gov/reports/2025-trafficking-in-persons-report/zimbabwe/
Refugees / IDPs
refugees: 22,432 (2024 est.) IDPs: 32,675 (2024 est.)
Assessment Note
Threat categories aligned with FBI/DOJ reporting standards. Tier 1 threats include counterterrorism, counterintelligence, cyber, and WMD proliferation. Data sourced from CIA World Factbook 2025 (OPEN SOURCE // OSINT).
Threat categories aligned with FBI/DOJ reporting standards. Tier 1 threats include counterterrorism, counterintelligence, cyber, and WMD proliferation. Data sourced from CIA World Factbook 2025 (OPEN SOURCE // OSINT).