INTELLIGENCE // DOSSIER // GT // 2025
Guatemala
Intelligence Dossier — ICD 203/208 Format — Central & South America (SOUTHCOM)
Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF)
Guatemala is a presidential republic. Population: total: 18,255,216 (2024 est.) male: 9,050,684 female: 9,204,532.
Guatemala is a presidential republic. Population: total: 18,255,216 (2024 est.) male: 9,050,684 female: 9,204,532.
Government & Political
Government type
HIGH
presidential republic
Capital
HIGH
name: Guatemala City geographic coordinates: 14 37 N, 90 31 W time difference: UTC-6 (1 hour behind Washington, DC, during Standard Time) etymology: the Spanish conquistadors' first capital (established in 1524) was a former Mayan settlement called "Quauhtemallan" by their Nahuatl-speaking Mexican allies, a name that means "land of the eagle" but that the Spanish probably pronounced "Guatemala"
Executive branch
HIGH
chief of state: President Bernardo AR VALO de Le n (since 15 January 2024) head of government: President Bernardo AR VALO de Le n (since 15 January 2024) cabinet: Council of Ministers appointed by the president election/appointment process: president and vice president directly elected on the same ballot by absolute-majority popular vote in 2 rounds, if needed, for a 4-year term (not eligible for consecutive terms) most recent election date: 25 June 2023, with a runoff on 20 August 2023 election results: 2023: Bernardo AR VALO de Le n elected president in second round; percent of vote in first round - Sandra TORRES (UNE) 21%; Bernardo AR VALO de Le n (SEMILLA) 15.6%, Manuel CONDE Orellana (VAMOS) 10.4%; Armando CASTILLO Alvarado (VIVA) 9.6%, other 43.4%; percent of vote in second round - Bernardo AR VALO de Le n 60.9%, Sandra TORRES 39.1% 2019: Alejandro GIAMMATTEI elected president; percent of vote in first round - Sandra TORRES (UNE) 25.5%, Alejandro GIAMMATTEI (VAMOS) 14%, Edmond MULET (PHG) 11.2%, Thelma CABRERA (MLP) 10.4%, Roberto ARZU (PAN-PODEMOS) 6.1%, other 32.8%; percent of vote in second round - Alejandro GIAMMATTEI 58%, Sandra TORRES 42% expected date of next election: June 2027 note: the president is both chief of state and head of government
Legislative branch
HIGH
legislature name: Congress of the Republic (Congreso de la República) legislative structure: unicameral number of seats: 160 (all directly elected) electoral system: mixed system scope of elections: full renewal term in office: 4 years most recent election date: 6/25/2023 parties elected and seats per party: Let’s Go for a Different Guatemala (Vamos) (39); National Unity of Hope Party (UNE) (28); Seed Movement (Semilla) (23); Cabal (18); Vision with Values (VIVA) (11); Other (41) percentage of women in chamber: 20% expected date of next election: June 2027
Judicial branch
HIGH
highest court(s): Supreme Court of Justice or Corte Suprema de Justicia (consists of 13 magistrates, including the court president and organized into 3 chambers) judge selection and term of office: Supreme Court magistrates elected by the Congress of the Republic from candidates proposed by the Postulation Committee, an independent body of deans of the country's university law schools, representatives of the country's law associations, and representatives of the Courts of Appeal; magistrates elected for concurrent, renewable 5-year terms; Constitutional Court judges - 1 elected by the Congress of the Republic, 1 by the Supreme Court, 1 by the president of the republic, 1 by the (public) University of San Carlos, and 1 by the Assembly of the College of Attorneys and Notaries; judges elected for renewable, consecutive 5-year terms; the presidency of the court rotates among the magistrates for a single 1-year term subordinate courts: Appellate Courts of Accounts, Contentious Administrative Tribunal, courts of appeal, first instance courts, child and adolescence courts, minor or peace courts note 1: the Supreme Court of Justice president also supervises trial judges countrywide note 2: the Constitutional Court or Corte de Constitucionalidad of Guatemala resides outside the country's judicial system; its sole purpose is the interpretation of the constitution and to see that the laws and regulations are not superior to the constitution (consists of 5 titular magistrates and 5 substitute magistrates)
Constitution
HIGH
history: several previous; latest adopted 31 May 1985, effective 14 January 1986; suspended and reinstated in 1994 amendment process: proposed by the president of the republic, by agreement of 10 or more deputies of Congress, by the Constitutional Court, or by public petition of at least 5,000 citizens; passage requires at least two-thirds majority vote by the Congress membership and approval by public referendum, referred to as "popular consultation"; constitutional articles such as national sovereignty, the republican form of government, limitations on those seeking the presidency, or presidential tenure cannot be amended
International organization participation
HIGH
ACS, BCIE, CACM, CD, CELAC, EITI (compliant country), FAO, G-24, G-77, IADB, IAEA, IBRD, ICAO, ICC (national committees), ICCt (signatory), ICRM, IDA, IFAD, IFC, IFRCS, IHO, ILO, IMF, IMO, Interpol, IOC, IOM, IPU, ISO (correspondent), ITSO, ITU, ITUC (NGOs), LAES, LAIA (observer), MIGA, MINUSTAH, MONUSCO, NAM, OAS, OPANAL, OPCW, Pacific Alliance (observer), PCA, Petrocaribe, SICA, UN, UNCTAD, UNESCO, UNHCR, UNIDO, UNIFIL, Union Latina, UNISFA, UNITAR, UNMISS, UNOCI, UNOOSA, UNWTO, UPU, WCO, WFTU (NGOs), WHO, WIPO, WMO, WTO
Military & Security
Military expenditures
HIGH
0.4% of GDP (2024 est.) 0.4% of GDP (2023 est.) 0.4% of GDP (2022 est.) 0.4% of GDP (2021 est.) 0.4% of GDP (2020 est.)
Military and security forces
HIGH
Army of Guatemala (Ejercito de Guatemala; aka Armed Forces of Guatemala or Fuerzas Armadas de Guatemala): Land Forces (Fuerzas de Tierra), Naval Forces (Fuerzas de Mar), and Air Force (Fuerza de Aire) (2025) note: the National Civil Police (Policia Nacional Civil or PNC) are under the Ministry of Government (Interior)
Military service age and obligation
HIGH
18-28 for voluntary service for men and women (17-21 for military schools); all Guatemalan men 18-49 are subject to selective compulsory service; service obligation is 12-24 months (2025)
Military - note
HIGH
the military is responsible for maintaining the independence, sovereignty, territorial integrity, and the honor of Guatemala, but has long focused on internal security; since the 2000s, the Guatemalan Government has used the military to support the National Civil Police in internal security operations (as permitted by the constitution) to combat organized crime, gang violence, and narco-trafficking; other responsibilities include border security, cybersecurity, and providing humanitarian assistance; it also participates in UN missions on a small scale and has a peacekeeping operations training command that offers training to regional countries; the military has security ties with regional partners such as Brazil, Colombia, El Salvador, and Honduras; cooperation with El Salvador and Honduras has included a combined police-military anti-gang task force to patrol border areas; it also has ties with the US, including joint training exercises and material assistance the military held power during most of Guatemala s 36-year civil war (1960-1996) and conducted a campaign of widespread violence and repression, particularly against the country s majority indigenous population; more than 200,000 people were estimated to have been killed or disappeared during the conflict (2025)
Military deployments
HIGH
180 Democratic Republic of the Congo (MONUSCO) (2025)
Economy
Real GDP (purchasing power parity)
HIGH
$232.673 billion (2024 est.) $224.475 billion (2023 est.) $216.815 billion (2022 est.) note: data in 2021 dollars
Real GDP per capita
HIGH
$12,600 (2024 est.) $12,400 (2023 est.) $12,100 (2022 est.) note: data in 2021 dollars
Real GDP growth rate
HIGH
3.7% (2024 est.) 3.5% (2023 est.) 4.2% (2022 est.) note: annual GDP % growth based on constant local currency
Inflation rate (consumer prices)
HIGH
2.9% (2024 est.) 6.2% (2023 est.) 6.9% (2022 est.) note: annual % change based on consumer prices
Public debt
HIGH
31.56% of GDP (2020 est.) note: central government debt as a % of GDP
Exports
HIGH
$17.997 billion (2024 est.) $17.342 billion (2023 est.) $18.141 billion (2022 est.) note: balance of payments - exports of goods and services in current dollars
Imports
HIGH
$35.576 billion (2024 est.) $33.056 billion (2023 est.) $33.943 billion (2022 est.) note: balance of payments - imports of goods and services in current dollars
Unemployment rate
HIGH
2.3% (2024 est.) 2.4% (2023 est.) 3.1% (2022 est.) note: % of labor force seeking employment
Budget
HIGH
revenues: $16.603 billion (2023 est.) expenditures: $17.349 billion (2023 est.) note: central government revenues (excluding grants) and expenditures converted to US dollars at average official exchange rate for year indicated
Industries
HIGH
sugar, textiles and clothing, furniture, chemicals, petroleum, metals, rubber, tourism
Agricultural products
HIGH
sugarcane, bananas, oil palm fruit, maize, cantaloupes/melons, potatoes, milk, tomatoes, chicken, pineapples (2023) note: top ten agricultural products based on tonnage
Demographics
Population
HIGH
total: 18,255,216 (2024 est.) male: 9,050,684 female: 9,204,532
Population growth rate
HIGH
0.99% (2025 est.)
Age structure
HIGH
0-14 years: 31.5% (male 2,925,079/female 2,819,927) 15-64 years: 63.2% (male 5,688,500/female 5,839,958) 65 years and over: 5.4% (2024 est.) (male 437,105/female 544,647)
Birth rate
HIGH
17.12 births/1,000 population (2025 est.)
Death rate
HIGH
4.99 deaths/1,000 population (2025 est.)
Net migration rate
HIGH
-2.22 migrant(s)/1,000 population (2025 est.)
Life expectancy at birth
HIGH
total population: 73.5 years (2024 est.) male: 71.5 years female: 75.6 years
Urbanization
HIGH
urban population: 53.1% of total population (2023) rate of urbanization: 2.59% annual rate of change (2020-25 est.)
Ethnic groups
HIGH
Mestizo (mixed Indigenous-Spanish - in local Spanish called Ladino) 56%, Maya 41.7%, Xinca (Indigenous, non-Maya) 1.8%, African descent 0.2%, Garifuna (mixed West and Central African, Island Carib, and Arawak) 0.1%, foreign 0.2% (2018 est.)
Languages
HIGH
Spanish (official) 69.9%, Maya languages 29.7% (Q'eqchi' 8.3%, K'iche 7.8%, Mam 4.4%, Kaqchikel 3%, Q'anjob'al 1.2%, Poqomchi' 1%, other 4%), other 0.4% (includes Xinca and Garifuna) (2018 est.) major-language sample(s): La Libreta Informativa del Mundo, la fuente indispensable de informaci n b sica. (Spanish) The World Factbook, the indispensable source for basic information. note: the 2003 Law of National Languages officially recognized 23 indigenous languages, including 21 Maya languages, Xinca, and Garifuna
Religions
HIGH
Evangelical 45.7%, Roman Catholic 42.4%, none 11%, unspecified 0.9% (2023 est.)
Literacy
HIGH
total population: 82.1% (2024 est.) male: 86.9% (2024 est.) female: 78.5% (2024 est.)
Energy & Resources
Natural resources
HIGH
petroleum, nickel, rare woods, fish, chicle, hydropower
Transnational Threats
Terrorist group(s)
HIGH
La Mara Salvatrucha (MS-13) note: details about the history, aims, leadership, organization, areas of operation, tactics, targets, weapons, size, and sources of support of the group(s) appear(s) in the Terrorism reference guide
Illicit drugs
HIGH
USG identification: major illicit drug-producing and/or drug-transit country major precursor-chemical producer (2025)
Refugees and internally displaced persons
HIGH
refugees: 4,676 (2024 est.) IDPs: 572,813 (2024 est.)
Infrastructure
Airports
HIGH
58 (2025)
Railways
HIGH
total: 800 km (2018) narrow gauge: 800 km (2018) 0.914-m gauge note: despite the existence of a railway network, all rail service was suspended in 2007 and no passenger or freight train currently runs in the country (2018)
Merchant marine
HIGH
total: 9 (2023) by type: oil tanker 1, other 8
Telephones - mobile cellular
HIGH
total subscriptions: 20.6 million (2023 est.) subscriptions per 100 inhabitants: 115 (2022 est.)
Internet users
HIGH
percent of population: 56% (2023 est.)
Classification
OPEN SOURCE. Data from CIA World Factbook 2025 edition (public domain). Assessment formatted per ICD 203 Analytic Standards and ICD 208 guidance. Confidence levels: HIGH = current year data, MODERATE = within 2 years, LOW = older than 2 years.
Full Sources & Methodology →
OPEN SOURCE. Data from CIA World Factbook 2025 edition (public domain). Assessment formatted per ICD 203 Analytic Standards and ICD 208 guidance. Confidence levels: HIGH = current year data, MODERATE = within 2 years, LOW = older than 2 years.
Full Sources & Methodology →